Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.433784 0.501970 0.576570 0.664135 0.763992 0.874206 1.004956
2025-07-13 0.325432 0.419464 0.532831 0.679048 0.862068 1.082971 1.369154
2025-07-20 0.273858 0.381804 0.521406 0.714004 0.971477 1.302279 1.757746
2025-07-27 0.235109 0.349807 0.506972 0.736072 1.059110 1.495514 2.126279
2025-08-03 0.202051 0.318424 0.486210 0.742848 1.121848 1.656480 2.462035
2025-08-10 0.174018 0.289039 0.462730 0.740205 1.167348 1.793593 2.772661
2025-08-17 0.150001 0.261676 0.437731 0.730523 1.198780 1.909945 3.059749
2025-08-24 0.130514 0.238433 0.415563 0.721389 1.228097 2.023090 3.348663
2025-08-31 0.111702 0.213420 0.387011 0.697733 1.230290 2.092133 3.571840
2025-09-07 0.105893 0.210312 0.394599 0.734826 1.335053 2.332317 4.087471
2025-09-14 0.092199 0.190782 0.371048 0.714842 1.339984 2.407525 4.335315
2025-09-21 0.080563 0.173473 0.349287 0.695245 1.342810 2.477971 4.578630
2025-09-28 0.070557 0.158207 0.329932 0.678687 1.350784 2.560237 4.853697
2025-10-05 0.065332 0.152051 0.327451 0.694088 1.419606 2.756552 5.348269
2025-10-12 0.062721 0.151056 0.335012 0.729779 1.529984 3.036595 6.015920
2025-10-19 0.059041 0.147158 0.336090 0.752301 1.616371 3.278198 6.629647
2025-10-26 0.054359 0.140286 0.330033 0.759217 1.671832 3.464758 7.152140
2025-11-02 0.049428 0.132082 0.320051 0.756520 1.706931 3.613758 7.611812
2025-11-09 0.044521 0.123198 0.307457 0.746639 1.725754 3.731405 8.017478
2025-11-16 0.040201 0.115129 0.295731 0.737316 1.744610 3.849969 8.432710
2025-11-23 0.035452 0.105204 0.278409 0.713173 1.728500 3.894824 8.699670
2025-11-30 0.034743 0.106005 0.287102 0.751030 1.854344 4.246096 9.628147
2025-12-07 0.030947 0.097704 0.272238 0.730635 1.845227 4.308556 9.949713